Defeating Israel
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The writing is on the wall. The same international community that sanctioned the last war against Iraq (based on institutional originated disinformation and bypassing the UN) would need to lead one against Israel. That is, if it wasn’t want to be considered hypocrite. After all, the Goldstone Report – now accepted by the UN Human Rights Commission – defined Israel as a terrorist organization in article 1690 (and others). Some would ask “how come a Christian is writing about a war?” Sometimes the task of a Christian is to point out the truth, to say what will happen if God is not accepted; the personal price he’ll pay for that is of no consequence. So, this article is not a call for war, but a call for Israeli citizens to repent, to understand the wrong they are committing daily, to stop it and to indemnify its victims properly. Otherwise? Probably the war abovementioned would take place. How would such a war look? That’s the topic of this article. As with my article about “MI5, CAZAB and Israel” I am in danger of falling into certain legal traps that may harm my refugee status; thus I’ll refer to public information where possible and to my military analysis capabilities gained through my training as an IDF officer. In no place I’ll use factual information gained in my service as an officer. Having served in various strategic units can become a drawback later in life. Wherever I cannot expand on facts or the reasoning process, I’ll place an asterisk (*). The IDF has an image of strength. Reality is different. Those judging weapons by their number commit a serious error; an intentional one as part of the IDF intimidation tactic is: “we have hundreds of American fighters, you can’t win.” Mmm... Let’s see the real picture; what are the IDF weak points: -. An army too big for its country. A “rush hour” effect during the organization of the army for a war would transform most main roads into a long caravan of useless steel. We have all seen pictures of unmoving Israeli tanks on the Lebanese mountainous roads. Moreover, tanks within Israel are transported on semi-trailers and are thus dead weight. -. Narrow corridors force the army to move through certain roads. I did write recently about the importance of Ariel in the defense of a second corridor between Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. -. One continuous front. This can be solved with a Vertical Bypass (*), but the last can be blocked. -. Hostile islands in the form of Palestinian cities demanding a strong policing presence of the IDF. -. Strategic concentration of forces in a few central points. (*) -. Limited amounts of weapons; without a massive infusion of American armaments during a total conflict the IDF can fight only a given amount of days. (*) -. Outdated Equipment. Several of the IDF divisions use obsolete equipment and their capability to move is close to zero. (*) -. Inflated statistics. Many reserve soldiers wouldn’t arrive if called in an emergency. The IDF is smaller than it looks. (*) -. Structural weak points. Israeli weapons suffer of intrinsic weak points The Merkava Tank weak points were publicly disclosed in their failures in Gaza. An article I published about Dow Chemical illustrates other points. -. The Israeli Air Force is portrayed as the strongest arm of the IDF. In 2006 the IDF was for the first time in many years under the command of an air force officer. He didn’t trust the “greens” (Hebrew slang for ground forces) and kept them on hold while he sent the “blues” – the air force – to ruthlessly attack Lebanon. In parallel, he found time to call his broker and sell his entire portfolio in the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, causing an additional embarrassment to the Israeli administration. The entire operation failed miserably. The Israeli air force is built for single tactical strikes and not for strategic fighting against highly dispersed ground forces. After the first surprise, the air attacks become an annoyance but not an impassable frontier. In any case Israel’s fuel reserves are vulnerable. (*) -. Cultural weak points. Many Israeli citizens oppose the Zionist regime. They would appear at a conflict point blocking the regime operations in a myriad of ways, even by just walking away. From here onwards, the plans for such an event seem easier that when looking at propagandistic sources claiming Israel has the Xth strongest army in the whole world (next they’ll claim that’s true for the whole galaxy). How would an international army approach such an event? Most probably by attacking several points at once. A maritime landing nearby Netanya would dissect the country in two at its narrowest point is an obvious beginning. Two special forces would concentrate on the main general headquarters of the army – concentrating in their isolation rather than their destruction. (*) A few strategic junctions – especially the one in the north which is the IDF weakest point (*) and Glilot, where the Mossad and other units are located – would be locked with the use of a few snipers or other force multipliers (*). Bab el-Wad – the narrowest point on the Tel Aviv-Jerusalem highway – would also be an obvious target. Other weak points exist (*) American weapons convoys would be blocked by targeting the Haifa Port – the largest in the country – rather than by attacking the American ships. An international force entering from Jordan into the Jezreel Valley and advancing rapidly to the port may achieve that easily, as well as blocking the Northern Command organization activities (*). Attacking the Northern Command itself is useless (*), but isolating it is rather doable. Under such dramatic conditions the IDF may change its operational plans (*) and make a painful decision. The Southern Command may be ordered to give up the Negev Desert and concentrate on the Tel Aviv-Jerusalem Highway and in the northern side of the Gaza Strip. This Command may be the first one to collapse (*) offering comfortable access to the international army forces entering from southern Jordan. Can this plan succeed? This depends on the scenario chosen. If catching Israel by surprise, it’ll collapse in hours. Considering the time it takes recruiting and organizing an international army that is an improbable case. The other is building up the force slowly while Israel spends out its reserves. The Israeli society cannot survive without American grains and fuel. Blocking the ports and building up the ground forces in the surrounding countries may result in fantastic results, maybe even to an unconditional surrender of the terrorist Zionist regime before even one bullet is shot. And as the Hebrew saying says: “…and better an hour earlier.” Chemical Disaster
In the first article of this series I commented on a possible result of Israel being recently defined as a terrorist organization by the Human Rights Commission of the UN. An international army could be sent – as it was to Iraq – in an attempt to stop the atrocities of the Zionist regime and to restore democracy to the area. It was shown that if well organized such an effort has large probabilities of success, while inflicting a minimum of damages to human lives. Yet, Israel owns an impressive amount of chemical industries. If ignoring their locations and specific dangers, such a force may cause a chemical disaster of astounding dimensions. This article is an introductory one to the topic, commenting on the dangers only in general lines. The largest dangers are concentrated in two zones, both of them densely populated: Haifa and Beer Sheva. Haifa is home to the Oil Refineries, the Gadot Chemical Port and various industries. The docks of Gadot hold large quantities of highly reactive chemicals at all times, especially for the plastic and agrochemical industries. Its location implies the whole of the Haifa Bay could be contaminated if the containers were harmed to the extent of stopping the port activities at all, or at least limiting them seriously. Wait a minute… did I say Oil Refineries? Does Israel have oil wells? Not exactly. During the days of the British Mandate on Palestine, there was an oil pipe from Iraq to Haifa, marked in old maps with an “H.” It still exists and is strategically important (*) though it is inactive. However, the refineries are very active. What’s the economic point of importing crude oil and distilling it for local consumption? That’s not the point – the financial side seldom is the key when dealing with Israel. Oil refineries use mono- di- and tri- ethanol amines in the oil purification process. Does this list ring a bell? Triethanolamine – usually known as TEA – is a precursor of chemical weapons and is smuggled out from the refineries to other industrial locations. The spilling of these and other chemical products stored and used in refineries may cause a serious ecological disaster. The adjacent streams are already heavily polluted; many soldiers from the marine commando suffer of cancer due to their training sessions in these waters. Still related to the oil industry are the vast subterranean reservoirs of military and civilian grade gasoline. If spilled they could contaminate the limited water subterranean wells under the West Bank. Access to these waters is one of the main drives of Israel for holding empty mountainous areas along the Samarian mounts. The extensive use of these waters in recent years caused a serious lowering of their levels, transforming the surrounding ground (i.e. the whole of central Israel) into a highly thirsty sponge readily absorbing any liquids, and increasing thus the rate of the contamination process in the case of a spill. The industries in Beer Sheva include mainly those related to by-products of salts extracted from the Dead Sea by the Dead Sea Works – formerly known as the Palestine Potash Company. The salts are used for the production of agrochemical products and for the bromine related industries, mainly for the production of fire retardants. Most synthetic carpets in the world use fire-retardants produced here. The extraction of the salts is done on the southern side of the Dead Sea, where all the evaporation pools can be seen, but its chemical processing is done in several plants in the outskirts of Beer Sheva. There, two corporations make the processing: Makhteshim-Agan for the agrochemical products and ICL (Israel Chemical) for the bromine industry. Even those knowing very little chemistry know bromine is highly reactive and poisonous; the same goes for fertilizers, herbicides and pesticides. That means unusual quantities of pollutants are produced and stored next to the city. Yet, the danger here is unexpectedly large since the Makhteshim plant (Makhteshim and Agan are two different companies in the corporation owned by Koor and each has its own plant) produces methyl isocyanate. What’s methyl isocyanate? This extremely toxic substance is used in the production of pesticides. It became famous during the night of December 3, 1984, when it was spilled in the Bhopal installations of a company now owned by Dow Chemical. Defined as the worst industrial disaster in history, it caused the death of thousands, many more were crippled and the ground is still contaminated there. Dow Chemical learned nothing; it is a major provider of Oil Refineries, Makhteshim, Agan and ICL via the Jacobson Agencies in Hertzeliya Pituach. More details on this appear in my book The Cross of Bethlehem At all times, there are hundreds of kilograms of this substance waiting for further process at the Makhteshim plant. Is this the whole picture? Hardly so, Israel has the potential of becoming the scene of the worst industrial disaster, overtaking Bhopal by several orders of magnitude. Ha-Yarkon Street and Black Sheep
In my actual country of residence they have problems understanding many Biblical stories. For them, the Jordan River equals the Amazon, while the Negev Desert is probably as big as the Sahara. Biblical Jerusalem is in their eyes as large as modern New York. The truth is that crossing the Jordan with a boat would be difficult, unless you find a short enough one. Including a coffee break, you can walk across Biblical Jerusalem in an hour. The Negev can be divided into many different regions, each one unique and… tiny. In the central areas of the country, one city ends where the next one begins. Israel is doll-sized. Every geographical region is petite. Changes are abrupt and often. The small distance separating the steamy Mediterranean coast from Jerusalem’s January snows is just sixty kilometers. These pose a complex reality for large military maneuvers, as the IDF has found time and again. A rush hour roadblock of tank carrying semi-trailers is a sight comic in its absurdity. Valleys are narrow. Only three are wide enough to allow good highways: the Jordan valley up to Kiryat Shmona, the Jezreel Valley and the coastal plains adjacent to the Mediterranean Sea. Only the last features highways, two parallel ones to be exact. The duplicity is not casual, if one is destroyed the second would still allow the desperate move of Israeli forces. Moreover, one of them may become an IDF emergence runway if a military airport is badly damaged. This is a though reality. Only one army can control the ground, there is no enough room for two of them. One may control a spot and the second may be fighting for it, but that's the maximal extent of sharing the limited space allows. A violent decision would take place. Technically there are columns (a unit composed of several divisions); in practice they can't move. Technically there are open spaces; in practice all of them have adjacent control points. Technically the IDF controls the strategic points; in practice it is a very heavy sitting duck. Listing the strategic points is easy, just find the entry and exit junctions along the country's main routes. Foolishly, Israel placed major strategic bases next to them. These can be destroyed or blocked from several thousand miles. Mystified Israeli soldiers would shoot M16 American or oxidized Galil (Israeli Kalashnikov’s clones) guns at intercontinental ballistic missiles; that is if they'll spot them before they hit ground. This article is about strategic routes in and to Israel. Technically, Israel is an American island in Southwestern Asia and depends on American ships and in Zim for its supply of food and weapons. The blocking of its main port can be achieved chemically; this was described in the second article of this series. The overall picture described until now is highly complex for the IDF; defending Israel may become an impossible liability for it. What does an army do under such conditions? Few countries recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital; the UN and the US do not recognize it. Consequently most embassies are in Tel Aviv. Most of them are along the streets next to the city's beautiful promenade on the Mediterranean shore. Ha-Yarkon Street is the name of the game for the main embassies; secondary ones can be found on the adjacent streets. Why is that? Washington's Sixth Fleet would evacuate the staff of most embassies and the coward Zionist leaders while the Israeli citizens perish under a total attack. And yes, the Warring Family would be on the ships down to their last black sheep. Dimona is not Israel’s Lifeline: On Zim and Gadot
On Nuclear Propaganda It is difficult to read the newspapers without finding a reference to nuclear weapons and their dangers. It is difficult to understand the journalists’ fastidiousness on the point, unless these articles are implanted by the indefatigable conspirators and their masters in yet another attempt to distract and frighten the masses from the real issues. Today, I was informed by a faithful reader of yet another new nuclear technology “recently discovered by a non-nuclear country and highly lethal;” actually one of my Chemical Physics professors at the Tel Aviv University developed it for Dimona at least thirty years ago. Why do we see this obsession? Nuclear weapons are almost useless. They are very expensive toys that can be used only in an improbable Armageddon scenario. Moreover, they have an asymmetric nature. Large societies suffering from a limited nuclear attack would survive it. See Japan. However, small societies would perish. Israel cannot survive such an attack, while its neighbors will. So, if all the Israeli nuclear talk is just aimed at distracting, then what are the real strategic points? I mentioned several ones in the Defeating Israel articles of this website, and want to use this opportunity to expand on some of them. For most readers it is difficult to comprehend the Israeli reality because they live in very large societies, importing and exporting products is easy for them in a variety of ways. However, despite its geographical location, the Israeli society behaves like a highly isolated island. A country-sized jail controlled by security services with no regard for human rights or the law. The main access line to this island is called Zim (Tzim would be a better phonetic representation of the name). Zim Zim’s importance is evident just by reading its history. It was founded in 1945, by the Jewish Agency, the Histadrut (General Federation of Laborers in the Land of Israel) and the Israel Maritime League. The first two were the civil organizations that laid the base for the future state. Zim’s flag is based on the one designed by Theodor Herzl in 1896 as the future national emblem of the State of Israel. Herzl’s banner included seven six-pointed golden stars in a white field. No other civil organization in Israel can show such a patriotic pedigree and emblems. In 1953, some of the money from the reparations agreement between Israel and West Germany was allocated to a massive expansion of its fleet (and I thought the damages were intended for the refugees! Silly me…). In 2004 the company was formally privatized – it was bought by the Ofer Brothers Group, but that has little meaning in Israel; the brothers already had a significant ownership of the company. As in other events described in The Cross of Bethlehem All these – and more – single out Zim as a strategic company. It is Israel’s lifeline. It brings wheat and oil from the US: Israel doesn’t produce enough food to feed its citizens and has no oil. The list goes one with any strategic product imaginable; secret cargo aimed for special industries may be normal. Blocking Zim’s service during a military conflict will strangle Israel to death, especially since it depends on the Haifa Port for its normal functioning. Soapy Port In the Defeating Israel articles of this website, I commented also on the vulnerability of Israel supply lines. They depend heavily on one port in Haifa Bay. Gadot Chemical Tankers and Terminals is located there and acts as the major pier for chemical products in the country, shipping, storing, and distributing liquid chemicals, oils, and a large variety of materials for the local industry. A major spill of these in the bay may seem of little consequence during a war – after all ships can float even in polluted waters. Reality is more complex. A key issue for Israel during a war would be to retain its capability to attack foreign ships attempting to enter the port while letting friendly ships download their content at the docks. This is a complex task which heavily depends on a maritime commando force capable of working in what would be extremely crowded and dangerous waters; let me skip the details. The Gadot docks contain huge quantities of glycols. By themselves they are quite innocuous; you can see them listed in every shampoo bottle. These types of chemicals are related to soaps. What makes soap soapy? Simply, the ability to dissolve greasy and oily substances into water. Glycols would allow many toxic products stored there to dissolve into the bay waters, blocking almost entirely the capability of soldiers to work underwater and thus the facto blocking Israel’s military capabilities in the area. On the Theory of Mass Distraction This is just an example of a strategic lifeline of Israel that is completely unrelated to the nuclear issue. It can be easily expanded from open sources; there are no secrets in this article, just an example of basic military thinking. Yet, everybody is distracted by nuke-talk. In the article “Netanyahu’s Zigzag: Bravo Bibi!” I commented about an ongoing nuclear embargo on Israel by the US and on a political zigzag of Benjamin Netanyahu when he cancelled his attendance of the Nuclear Security Summit (NSS) on April 12-13. Israel seems to care very little about these. The Israeli Administration is doing nothing about the embargo – a short and pale article in Maariv – and it cancelled Netanyahu’s participation without second thoughts. Where is the typical Israeli aggression in these cases? Why don’t we see red-faced Israeli ambassadors openly attacking the US Administration, Turkey and Egypt on these recent events? Why isn’t Netanyahu threatening with retaliations? Simply, because the nuke-talk is just that, a smoke screen of no strategic value. Hamovil Haartzi
“Hamovil Haartzi” is Hebrew for “The National Water Carrier” (the word “water” doesn’t appear in the title) and refers to a series of water canals, pipes, tunnels, pumping stations and reservoirs that transfer water from the Sea of Galilee (actually a lake) to the center and south. It was constructed between 1953 and 1964; back then it was aimed mainly for agriculture. Over time, Israel became an urbanized society and now the carrier provides mainly drinking water to the very populated central part of Israel, namely to “Gush Dan” –Tel Aviv’s metropolitan area. Water enters the carrier through a long pipeline submerged in the northern part of Sea of Galilee. Then it passes to a reservoir and is pumped through the Sapir Pumping Station. The water flows into the open Jordan Canal, an open canal crossing Nahal Amud and Nahal Tzalmon (two important wadis in the north). The Tzalmon Reservoir includes a pumping station of the same name which lifts the water up to the Ya’akov Tunnel, after which it uses an open canal to cross the Beit Netofa Valley into two additional reservoirs. Here is a main purification palnt, which not only cleans sediments and impurities but monitors the water has not been poisoned along the way. This has been ever a major concern of the Israeli Administration. From here the water enters a closed pipeline – so that it cannot be accessed anymore by sabotaging agents – and is transported to the Yarkon-Negev Plant near Rosh HaAyin. From here it is distributed to the thirsty |
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